Estimate population size using proportions

Learn with an example

  • 🔷The ratio of marked bobcats to total bobcats should be about the same in both the sample population and the overall population. You know how many bobcats were in the sample and how many of those were marked. You also know the total number of marked bobcats.
  • Set up a proportion.
    • marked bobcats counted / total bobcats counted = total marked bobcats / estimated bobcat population
  • Plug in the numbers you know and solve for the bobcat population, p.
  • 27/100 = 81/p
  • 27/100 ( 700p ) = 81/p ( 700p ) —–> Multiply both sides by 700p
  • 27p = 81 · 700 ——> Simplify
  • 27p = 56,700 ——–> Simplify
  • p = 2,100 ———> Divide both sides by 27
  • The best estimate for the bobcat population is 2,100.
  • 🔷The ratio of marked crows to total crows should be about the same in both the sample population and the overall population. You know how many crows were in the sample and how many of those were marked. You also know the total number of marked crows.
  • Set up a proportion.
    • marked crows counted / total crows counted = total marked crows / estimated crow population
  • Plug in the numbers you know and solve for the crow population, p.
  • 27/180 = 36/p
  • 27/180 ( 180p ) = 36/p ( 180p ) ———> Multiply both sides by 180p
  • 27p = 36 · 180 ———> Simplify
  • 27p = 6,480 ———> Simplify
  • p = 240 ——–> Divide both sides by 27
  • The best estimate for the crow population is 240.
  • 🔷 The ratio of marked wombats to total wombats should be about the same in both the sample population and the overall population. You know how many wombats were in the sample and how many of those were marked. You also know the total number of marked wombats.
  • Set up a proportion.
    • marked wombats counted / total wombats counted = total marked wombats / estimated wombat population
  • Plug in the numbers you know and solve for the wombat population, p.
  • 24/240 = 89/p
  • 24/240 ( 240p ) = 89/p ( 240p ) ——-> Multiply both sides by 240p
  • 24p = 89 · 240 ——–> Simplify
  • 24p = 21,360 ——–> Simplify
  • p = 890 ——–> Divide both sides by 24
  • The best estimate for the wombat population is 890.

Let’s practice! 🖊️